Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.389998e-02 0.015595 0.017310 0.019168 0.021121 0.023106 0.025273
2025-05-11 1.070800e-02 0.013335 0.016120 0.019261 0.022678 0.026260 0.030277
2025-05-18 8.738862e-03 0.011823 0.015209 0.019137 0.023511 0.028184 0.033509
2025-05-25 7.060678e-03 0.010400 0.014198 0.018719 0.023858 0.029437 0.035878
2025-06-01 5.841977e-03 0.009357 0.013490 0.018526 0.024350 0.030758 0.038235
2025-06-08 4.761827e-03 0.008357 0.012733 0.018189 0.024605 0.031750 0.040168
2025-06-15 4.023900e-03 0.007704 0.012329 0.018210 0.025223 0.033110 0.042474
2025-06-22 3.232580e-03 0.006888 0.011655 0.017854 0.025355 0.033880 0.044080
2025-06-29 2.464414e-03 0.006001 0.010824 0.017250 0.025150 0.034225 0.045171
2025-07-06 1.733216e-03 0.005050 0.009831 0.016385 0.024584 0.034115 0.045706
2025-07-13 1.471389e-03 0.004802 0.009764 0.016674 0.025401 0.035606 0.048072
2025-07-20 1.127127e-03 0.004351 0.009379 0.016528 0.025665 0.036431 0.049653
2025-07-27 7.479715e-04 0.003773 0.008815 0.016186 0.025753 0.037133 0.051203
2025-08-03 5.242135e-04 0.003444 0.008605 0.016320 0.026452 0.038594 0.053679
2025-08-10 3.128536e-04 0.003038 0.008232 0.016199 0.026806 0.039617 0.055621
2025-08-17 1.342493e-04 0.002562 0.007693 0.015816 0.026799 0.040187 0.057012
2025-08-24 4.174186e-05 0.002213 0.007319 0.015638 0.027038 0.041041 0.058727
2025-08-31 7.917634e-07 0.001851 0.006874 0.015328 0.027086 0.041645 0.060132
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001634 0.006666 0.015348 0.027555 0.042759 0.062139
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001332 0.006242 0.015021 0.027546 0.043270 0.063412
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001003 0.005692 0.014467 0.027210 0.043357 0.064159
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000667 0.005020 0.013674 0.026520 0.042978 0.064325
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000604 0.005010 0.013939 0.027280 0.044428 0.066713